Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1258.973293 1423.155493 1603.149123 1815.526426 2059.779646 2332.494305 2660.884444
2025-12-21 968.052220 1179.412120 1431.252662 1755.101670 2162.872252 2662.371217 3325.300919
2025-12-28 855.598661 1096.452311 1400.155424 1814.608059 2370.688581 3098.357625 4134.738083
2026-01-04 764.754949 1020.410736 1357.778704 1840.949111 2523.975186 3468.223622 4895.554627
2026-01-11 692.106744 955.665895 1317.216845 1857.002933 2655.491187 3813.906478 5660.111176
2026-01-18 632.743421 900.412852 1280.391084 1869.078025 2776.116557 4150.783206 6450.389643
2026-01-25 592.912430 867.533890 1269.954209 1915.344694 2948.637601 4580.980009 7441.503430
2026-02-01 553.431580 830.315270 1247.861761 1938.926277 3084.953810 4966.141449 8408.778366
2026-02-08 516.172170 792.338327 1219.895105 1948.365203 3196.509851 5320.077748 9368.446543
2026-02-15 485.915536 762.155105 1200.587738 1968.496731 3325.971387 5716.712101 10459.161098
2026-02-22 462.556023 740.672850 1192.760511 2006.009809 3488.003925 6187.841457 11757.762582
2026-03-01 426.350074 694.764445 1140.030517 1959.483019 3492.277929 6367.489460 12505.404590
2026-03-08 391.711095 649.497148 1085.845786 1907.375212 3484.834082 6532.399572 13268.150499
2026-03-15 358.772170 604.661885 1028.854716 1844.881444 3451.279711 6643.512556 13938.920328
2026-03-22 348.239554 598.071364 1038.650086 1907.706123 3669.064683 7287.341165 15890.903375
2026-03-29 333.500152 582.638926 1030.882774 1935.567310 3818.940408 7808.570947 17652.750823
2026-04-05 318.539469 565.538578 1018.414276 1952.544494 3947.541989 8299.979256 19430.255633
2026-04-12 304.279994 548.583280 1004.683527 1965.315099 4068.105737 8788.717705 21289.749894
2026-04-19 295.408192 541.090610 1008.412946 2014.251501 4273.352515 9499.259837 23859.119477
2026-04-26 284.405145 528.613811 1001.235636 2039.196795 4427.141931 10108.981228 26277.258835
2026-05-03 272.589878 513.650267 987.821454 2049.182125 4547.206428 10652.718654 28619.454739
2026-05-10 262.746407 501.884138 979.933000 2070.480091 4696.468085 11290.768310 31367.959246
2026-05-17 255.288356 494.386492 980.235993 2110.170501 4895.160856 12085.673947 34762.364125